Western leaders feel that they have limited options to meet Russian demands to halt the enlargement of NATO or threaten sanctions so may opt to force Ukraine to make concessions instead to avert war.

The swell of anti-government protests that erupted in Kazakhstan at the start of 2022 have triggered violent crackdowns and scared the government enough to seek foreign military assistance despite the risk of doing so.

Natural disasters, extremism, elections and social unrest will join the continuing impact of COVID-19 across the world as the major threats and disruptions to travellers in 2022 according to our team of expert analysts who have identified 10 key risks for the coming year.

The latest migrant crisis in Europe, initiated by Belarus on the Polish border, continues a growing trend of governments engineering such crises to force political concessions from neighbouring countries.

The emergence of The Resistance Front (TRF) militant group has significantly complicated an already-volatile security situation in India’s Jammu and Kashmir region.

Travel restrictions are being relaxed around the world, so dust off your passport and head out on an autumn city break.

Sudan appears set on becoming the new Egypt, with its recent coup, which has dealt a near-fatal blow to the country’s chances of establishing a democracy in the coming years.

Clashes between political partisans on the streets of Beirut underline how a lack of accountability for the 2020 port disaster is feeding into revivified sectarian tensions.

Ahead of the 2021 United Nations (UN) Climate Change Conference in Glasgow, where many of these issues will be discussed, we would like to highlight the risks associated with some underrated natural hazards and their potential to worsen over time.

The Tigray War has further added to Ethiopia’s internal conflicts, which demonstrate the limits of the federal government to manage increasingly fraught scrambles among different communities’ for autonomy and scarce resources.