Rising anti-immigration sentiment, protests and targeted attacks are affecting Europe and Asia Pacific, including in the UK, Ireland and Australia. Anti-immigrant actions taken by the US government have also depressed tourism.

Drone sightings at European airports are also a growing operational concern. While many drone sightings appear to be false alarms, EU officials believe that some are orchestrated by Russia using criminal networks as part of an hybrid warfare campaign over the Ukraine conflict.

Stable, low-risk destinations continue to include countries with strong governance, robust infrastructure and reliable services, such as China, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Southeast Asia, much of Europe, North America, Chile and Argentina.

Cross-border tensions and regional conflicts are expected to persist, including:

• Afghanistan-Pakistan clashes
• India-Pakistan tensions
• Thailand-Cambodia cross-border clashes
• US-Venezuela tensions

Climate-related risks, such as heatwaves, wildfires and hurricanes, may influence seasonal travel choices. Maritime security concerns include increased US drone and air operations in the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific targeting small boats alleged to be running illicit drugs. 

Mano Dura (“Iron Fist”) security approaches in Latin America can limit civil liberties and impose lockdowns. Hybrid threats, including cyber-attacks, disinformation and infrastructure disruption, pose risks in Europe, particularly at transport hubs and in banking systems. Political volatility in Latin America, notably in Peru, Brazil, Honduras, Argentina and Colombia, may trigger unrest, while gang and organised crime continue to present challenges in Mexico, Ecuador and Brazil.