On 1 November, Tanzanian authorities declared President Samia Suluhu Hassan reelected with 97.66% of the vote. Earlier, election restrictions effectively excluded the main opposition party, Chadema, from participating. Its leader, Tundu Lissu, remained detained on treason charges. Protests broke out in Dar es Salaam and quickly spread nationwide, prompting a heavy security response involving tear gas, water cannons and live ammunition. While the United Nations (UN) confirmed at least 10 deaths, human rights groups suggest the toll may be far higher. Hundreds of people, including opposition figures, were arrested, with at least 240 charged with treason. Hassan was inaugurated in a private ceremony on 3 November and Mwigulu Nchemba became prime minister on 13 November. Despite a recent decline in clashes, tightened security and calls for a major protest on 9 December indicate ongoing risks of unrest.

What to Expect:

Enhanced security measures remain in effect around government facilities, political party offices and electoral sites. Restrictions on public gatherings are still enforced. Although internet access has largely been restored since 3 November, partial limitations on social media and messaging platforms persist. While curfews have been lifted in some areas, a heightened security presence continues nationwide and authorities may rapidly reintroduce restrictions if unrest resumes. Further protests, especially in urban centres, remain possible. Security forces are likely to respond with force and conduct arrests of opposition figures or demonstrators.