As the new year approaches, it’s time to take a step back and consider what lies ahead in terms of travel, health and safety. Riskline’s 2024 Forecast provides an overview of industry predictions and the challenges companies need to be aware of to keep their travellers safe.
Riskline’s team of analysts based in over 20 countries, 12 time zones and working in over 18 languages put this forecast together another year in a row! Since the team is so diverse, their expertise and location focus help us maintain a global perspective and ensure our reports are relevant to companies worldwide.
Let’s check out the key messages we cover in this year’s forecast.
Travel – Digitalisation and Facilitation
We start by considering the various trends developing across the travel industry. This includes digitalisation efforts as faster and safer travel experiences are prioritised. We consider which countries are trialling digital passports, the implementation of e-gates and self-check-in desks by airlines, the digitalisation of Schengen Visas and beyond.
These trends facilitate travel, supporting its growth in the next year. However, 2024 will also see changes in Visa regulations and increase the need to stay informed while travelling. Additional geopolitical and climatic phenomena such as El Niño and the increased risk of wildfires, droughts, tropical storms, and others highlight upcoming challenges. Being aware of entry requirements as well as potential threats to travel continuity remain top priority.
Health – Climate Change and Water Scarcity
Another significant topic is health. Our analysts consider the impact of extreme weather events and climate change. This situation is no longer something constrained to the Global South. The increasing risk of flooding, droughts, heatwaves, and wildfires as well as previously unseen health hazards such as disease-carrying mosquitoes in North America and Europe highlight the global nature of health risks.
Alongside these risks, we also explore changing weather patterns. The broad consequences of these include water scarcity as countries such as Uruguay experienced in 2023. This threat will pursue its spread and its impact on societies and travellers alike.
Security – Extremism and Emerging Tensions
Safety and security have been significant topics in 2023 and their importance will continue to grow in 2024. In the Forecast, we consider the impact of various ongoing conflicts.
Alongside global tension areas, we also explore ensuing trends in migratory flows, political shifts and increasing hate crimes. As a result, there might be increased security procedures for travellers and a greater risk of travel disruptions.
