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Making sense of key developments around the world

The Riskline Informer is a series of analytical pieces interpreting and forecasting key political, security and social issues affecting global affairs.

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End of year message from the CEO

When I sat down to write to you all at this time last year, I had nothing but a great sense of pride for the achievements Riskline accomplished in 2019, and optimism for what lay ahead in 2020.

US Elections: A post-Trump presidency

As the Electoral College meets to certify President-elect Joe Biden’s victory in the 3 November election, the refusal of incumbent President Donald Trump and his supporters to accept the results bodes ill for future elections.

COVID-safe travel: Tips on flying in the age of the pandemic

While airline travel is starting to pick-up, concerns over passenger health still remain amid the ongoing pandemic. Here are some tips for those travelling by air this holiday season to provide some peace of mind and to minimise the risks of contracting COVID-19.

COVID-19 Newsletter for December

Over the past two months we’ve made several enhancements to our COVID-19 microsite as part of our ongoing and evolving coverage of the pandemic to keep up with rapidly changing health, security and travel environments around the world.

The spillover of the Ethiopian conflict

Government forces have been engaged in conflict with the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) across the regions of Tigray, Amhara and near the Eritrean border since 3 November. Tens of thousands of displaced people fleeing the fighting swamp the Sudanese border, triggering fears of a massive health and refugee crisis as Ethiopia’s internal community relationships fracture, increasing likelihood of sustained and more widespread conflict.

Navigating through challenges and risks in the Australia-New Zealand travel bubble

The Australia-New Zealand travel bubble will allow quarantine-free travel for residents between the two countries from 19 April; but officials will continue to face the challenge of successfully segregating these travellers from those arriving from high-risk COVID-19 countries, while travellers will still face the risk of ad-hoc border closures.

2021 Quarter 2 Event Forecast

The first three months of 2021 have been incredibly turbulent. As COVID-19 continues to plague the world, several other major incidents have occurred including the military coup in Myanmar and the storming of the US Capitol. In this forecast, we highlight some of the key events to look out for in Quarter 2.

Islamist insurgency in Mozambique

A cycle of corruption, stalled development and heavy-handed government tactics have culminated in the establishment of Ansar al-Sunna, a Salafist militant organisation and affiliate of Islamic State-Central Africa Province (IS-CAP) in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province.

The 10th anniversary of the Syrian uprising

10 years on from the anniversary of the Syrian uprising which turned into a civil war, a political solution to the conflict appears impossible and the Syrian people continue to suffer as much as ever.

COVID-19 Pandemic: One Year Later

Today marks one year since the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the COVID-19 outbreak a global pandemic on 11th March 2020. Over the past 12

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