The Riskline informer is a series of analytical pieces interpreting and forecasting key political, security, and social issues affecting global affairs.
The deadly unrest and ethnic conflict that has gripped Myanmar since 2021 shows no signs of abating as the violence worsens and further weakens an already weakened central state led by a military junta.
Yoon Seok-yeol of the conservative People Power Party will be inaugurated as South Korea’s president on 10 May. He faces an increasingly tense regional security environment amid renewed North Korean weapons tests and threats.
After assumptions that Ukraine would quickly fall to Russia, NATO has redoubled its efforts to not just support Ukraine but also disconnect Europe from Russia as much as possible.
Despite the collapse in French-Malian relations, Mali’s ongoing security situation is unlikely to change significantly. Poor relations will likely affect French business concerns in the country and possibly travel as well.
Incumbent President Emmanuel Macron and far-right National Rally (RN) candidate Marine Le Pen came out on top in the first round of the 2022 presidential election held on 10 April. With polling between both candidates much closer than in 2017, and the likelihood of high voter abstention, the far-right stands a good chance of winning its first national election contest on 24 April.
Amid the worst economic downturn faced by Sri Lanka since independence, shortages of essential supplies and public outrage are only worsening by the day. International loans and stopgap measures may not be sufficient to manage the crisis in the longer term as the country is in dire need of internal economic and political reforms.
The migrant crisis at the US-Mexico border and throughout Latin America looks to heat up once again this spring as governments have so far failed to offer adequate solutions for the root causes of northbound migration.
The devastating floods in Australia’s NSW and QLD in recent weeks have highlighted shortcomings to the country’s emergency response and preparedness.
Less than one week into its invasion of Ukraine, the Russian armed forces have struggled to achieve the quick victory that they were ordered to secure.
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