{"id":581,"date":"2022-11-22T10:20:21","date_gmt":"2022-11-22T10:20:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/?page_id=581"},"modified":"2022-11-30T09:58:47","modified_gmt":"2022-11-30T09:58:47","slug":"will-nato-have-to-get-involved-in-a-conflict","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/y2023\/safety\/will-nato-have-to-get-involved-in-a-conflict\/","title":{"rendered":"Will NATO have to get involved in a conflict?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"581\" class=\"elementor elementor-581\" data-elementor-post-type=\"page\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-f130342 elementor-section-full_width elementor-section-height-min-height elementor-section-items-top elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"f130342\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-background-overlay\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-29f39f5 elementor-invisible\" data-id=\"29f39f5\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;fadeIn&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b0d5ead elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"b0d5ead\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.23.0 - 05-08-2024 *\/\n.elementor-heading-title{padding:0;margin:0;line-height:1}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title[class*=elementor-size-]>a{color:inherit;font-size:inherit;line-height:inherit}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title.elementor-size-small{font-size:15px}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title.elementor-size-medium{font-size:19px}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title.elementor-size-large{font-size:29px}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title.elementor-size-xl{font-size:39px}.elementor-widget-heading .elementor-heading-title.elementor-size-xxl{font-size:59px}<\/style><h1 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">03<\/h1>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d1ff7c9 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"d1ff7c9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.23.0 - 05-08-2024 *\/\n.elementor-widget-divider{--divider-border-style:none;--divider-border-width:1px;--divider-color:#0c0d0e;--divider-icon-size:20px;--divider-element-spacing:10px;--divider-pattern-height:24px;--divider-pattern-size:20px;--divider-pattern-url:none;--divider-pattern-repeat:repeat-x}.elementor-widget-divider .elementor-divider{display:flex}.elementor-widget-divider .elementor-divider__text{font-size:15px;line-height:1;max-width:95%}.elementor-widget-divider .elementor-divider__element{margin:0 var(--divider-element-spacing);flex-shrink:0}.elementor-widget-divider .elementor-icon{font-size:var(--divider-icon-size)}.elementor-widget-divider .elementor-divider-separator{display:flex;margin:0;direction:ltr}.elementor-widget-divider--view-line_icon .elementor-divider-separator,.elementor-widget-divider--view-line_text .elementor-divider-separator{align-items:center}.elementor-widget-divider--view-line_icon .elementor-divider-separator:after,.elementor-widget-divider--view-line_icon 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var(--divider-color)}.elementor-widget-divider--separator-type-pattern{--divider-border-style:none}.elementor-widget-divider--separator-type-pattern.elementor-widget-divider--view-line .elementor-divider-separator,.elementor-widget-divider--separator-type-pattern:not(.elementor-widget-divider--view-line) .elementor-divider-separator:after,.elementor-widget-divider--separator-type-pattern:not(.elementor-widget-divider--view-line) .elementor-divider-separator:before,.elementor-widget-divider--separator-type-pattern:not([class*=elementor-widget-divider--view]) .elementor-divider-separator{width:100%;min-height:var(--divider-pattern-height);-webkit-mask-size:var(--divider-pattern-size) 100%;mask-size:var(--divider-pattern-size) 100%;-webkit-mask-repeat:var(--divider-pattern-repeat);mask-repeat:var(--divider-pattern-repeat);background-color:var(--divider-color);-webkit-mask-image:var(--divider-pattern-url);mask-image:var(--divider-pattern-url)}.elementor-widget-divider--no-spacing{--divider-pattern-size:auto}.elementor-widget-divider--bg-round{--divider-pattern-repeat:round}.rtl .elementor-widget-divider .elementor-divider__text{direction:rtl}.e-con-inner>.elementor-widget-divider,.e-con>.elementor-widget-divider{width:var(--container-widget-width,100%);--flex-grow:var(--container-widget-flex-grow)}<\/style>\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-dca699e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"dca699e\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-7d81f8b elementor-invisible\" data-id=\"7d81f8b\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;fadeIn&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5f63a7a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5f63a7a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-0b197db elementor-invisible\" data-id=\"0b197db\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;fadeIn&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1560fe8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"1560fe8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Going into the winter of 2022-2023, Russian forces in Ukraine have lost the initiative against Ukrainian counterattacks. Warmer weather forecasts and stockpiling of natural gas by European governments has blunted Russia\u2019s most potent diplomatic weapon, energy prices.<\/h2>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-1d91c82 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"1d91c82\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-1ee1be1\" data-id=\"1ee1be1\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b00f969 elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"b00f969\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;zoomIn&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.23.0 - 05-08-2024 *\/\n.elementor-widget-image{text-align:center}.elementor-widget-image a{display:inline-block}.elementor-widget-image a img[src$=\".svg\"]{width:48px}.elementor-widget-image img{vertical-align:middle;display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1427\" height=\"355\" src=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/eu-storage@2x.png\" class=\"attachment-1536x1536 size-1536x1536 wp-image-1376\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/eu-storage@2x.png 1427w, https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/eu-storage@2x-300x75.png 300w, https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/eu-storage@2x-1024x255.png 1024w, https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/eu-storage@2x-768x191.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1427px) 100vw, 1427px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5d5fa1c elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5d5fa1c\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-989208d\" data-id=\"989208d\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5d399e2 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"5d399e2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6f3fdb1 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"6f3fdb1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<p class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Source: Reuters<\/p>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-eab1723 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"eab1723\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-9090513\" data-id=\"9090513\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b6694b9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"b6694b9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.23.0 - 05-08-2024 *\/\n.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap{color:#69727d;border:3px solid;background-color:transparent}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap{margin-top:8px}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap-letter{width:1em;height:1em}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap{float:left;text-align:center;line-height:1;font-size:50px}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap-letter{display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<p>Russia has now lost control of almost half of the territory it seized since the invasion began in February. Ukraine is continuing to advance east toward the Donbas region and begun massing forces for a possible third major counter-offensive, which would threaten Russian-annexed Crimea.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c303675 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c303675\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-b21dcde\" data-id=\"b21dcde\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a68724f elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"a68724f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e8b5b2a elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"e8b5b2a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;zoomIn&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1370\" height=\"349\" src=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/troops-killed@2x.png\" class=\"attachment-1536x1536 size-1536x1536 wp-image-1386\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/troops-killed@2x.png 1370w, https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/troops-killed@2x-300x76.png 300w, https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/troops-killed@2x-1024x261.png 1024w, https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/troops-killed@2x-768x196.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1370px) 100vw, 1370px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-4bddc4b elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"4bddc4b\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-1b1e053\" data-id=\"1b1e053\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-aea29ec elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"aea29ec\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3628b30 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"3628b30\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<p class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Source: AP News<\/p>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-22f8c61 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"22f8c61\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-db2337d\" data-id=\"db2337d\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ccf9ec2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ccf9ec2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>In turn, Russia has begun an aerial campaign to destroy Ukrainian heating and electrical facilities as temperatures fall. Despite bombastic Russian threats against NATO members, Russia has removed significant forces from the borders of Finland, Poland and Lithuania, up to 80 percent in some frontier areas, to redeploy inside Ukraine, demonstrating that for all its bluster, Russian decision-makers do not see NATO as an immediate threat. <\/p><p>A NATO deployment in Ukraine is only likely in the event of Russia utilising weapons of mass destruction (WMDs) against Ukrainian population centres. This would be met with a massive conventional response from air, land and sea-borne assets to destroy Russian military concentrations with precision missile strikes inside Ukraine.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-06dcc26 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"06dcc26\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-96989b4\" data-id=\"96989b4\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4bcd8c8 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"4bcd8c8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5c07bba elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"5c07bba\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;zoomIn&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"966\" height=\"446\" src=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/funding@2x.png\" class=\"attachment-1536x1536 size-1536x1536 wp-image-1393\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/funding@2x.png 966w, https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/funding@2x-300x139.png 300w, https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/funding@2x-768x355.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 966px) 100vw, 966px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-514cd62 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"514cd62\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-d13cfaa\" data-id=\"d13cfaa\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a83c908 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"a83c908\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-88bda4f elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"88bda4f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<p class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Source: Research Briefings<\/p>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-10a53fb elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"10a53fb\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-7bb862d\" data-id=\"7bb862d\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c96f322 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"c96f322\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>In such a scenario, deployment of NATO personnel into Ukraine is unlikely. NATO will not confront Russian forces on the ground in Ukraine or move into territory that is internationally recognised as being Russian soil.<\/p><p>Even cross-border firing incidents are unlikely to prompt direct intervention, due to the fog of war obscuring Russia\u2019s intentions and the distinction between accidents and provocations. <\/p><p>Continued NATO material and financial support will continue to flow to Ukraine. Russian military weakness and greater intra-NATO cooperation means that Russian military action elsewhere in its near-abroad, including the Caucasus and Central Asia, is unlikely, as are clashes between NATO members over their own outstanding territorial disputes, such as between Greece and Turkey in the Aegean Sea.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-516ec31 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"516ec31\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-52904c3\" data-id=\"52904c3\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-144f3d9 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"144f3d9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e40edc6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"e40edc6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<p class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">By Paul Mutter<\/p>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-73b21ee elementor-section-content-middle elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"73b21ee\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-f5fa06a elementor-invisible\" data-id=\"f5fa06a\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;fadeInUp&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fb30366 elementor-view-stacked elementor-widget__width-auto elementor-shape-circle elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon\" data-id=\"fb30366\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon\">\n\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"46\" height=\"46\" viewBox=\"0 0 46 46\"><g id=\"share\" transform=\"translate(-28 -30)\"><circle id=\"Ellipse_133\" data-name=\"Ellipse 133\" cx=\"23\" cy=\"23\" r=\"23\" transform=\"translate(28 30)\" fill=\"#fff\"><\/circle><g id=\"Group_5709\" data-name=\"Group 5709\" transform=\"translate(-588 -2338)\"><circle id=\"Ellipse_127\" data-name=\"Ellipse 127\" cx=\"3.5\" cy=\"3.5\" r=\"3.5\" transform=\"translate(630 2387)\" fill=\"#0e3a43\"><\/circle><circle id=\"Ellipse_128\" data-name=\"Ellipse 128\" cx=\"3.5\" cy=\"3.5\" r=\"3.5\" transform=\"translate(642 2381)\" fill=\"#0e3a43\"><\/circle><circle id=\"Ellipse_129\" data-name=\"Ellipse 129\" cx=\"3.5\" cy=\"3.5\" r=\"3.5\" transform=\"translate(642 2394)\" fill=\"#0e3a43\"><\/circle><line id=\"Line_857\" data-name=\"Line 857\" y1=\"7\" x2=\"13\" transform=\"translate(633.5 2383.5)\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#0e3a43\" stroke-width=\"2\"><\/line><line id=\"Line_858\" data-name=\"Line 858\" x2=\"13\" y2=\"7\" transform=\"translate(633.5 2391)\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#0e3a43\" stroke-width=\"2\"><\/line><\/g><\/g><\/svg>\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5cbea45 elementor-share-buttons--view-icon elementor-share-buttons--skin-flat elementor-share-buttons--shape-circle elementor-share-buttons--color-custom elementor-widget__width-auto share-custom-icons elementor-grid-0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-share-buttons\" data-id=\"5cbea45\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"share-buttons.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<link rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/plugins\/elementor-pro\/assets\/css\/widget-share-buttons.min.css?ver=1723719261\">\t\t<div class=\"elementor-grid\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-grid-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"elementor-share-btn elementor-share-btn_facebook\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\trole=\"button\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\ttabindex=\"0\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on facebook\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-share-btn__icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i class=\"fab fa-facebook\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-grid-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"elementor-share-btn elementor-share-btn_twitter\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\trole=\"button\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\ttabindex=\"0\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on twitter\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-share-btn__icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i class=\"fab fa-twitter\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-grid-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"elementor-share-btn elementor-share-btn_linkedin\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\trole=\"button\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\ttabindex=\"0\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on linkedin\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-share-btn__icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i class=\"fab fa-linkedin\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5bac31d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5bac31d\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-03af075\" data-id=\"03af075\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7f6ba04 elementor-cta--skin-cover elementor-cta--valign-bottom calltoaction-cust elementor-bg-transform elementor-bg-transform-zoom-in elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-global elementor-global-536 elementor-widget-call-to-action\" data-id=\"7f6ba04\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;fadeInUp&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"call-to-action.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<link rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/plugins\/elementor-pro\/assets\/css\/widget-call-to-action.min.css?ver=1723719261\">\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__bg-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__bg elementor-bg\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Group-6560@2x-1536x541.jpg);\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Group 6560@2x\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__bg-overlay\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__content\">\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-cta__title elementor-cta__content-item elementor-content-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t01\t\t\t\t\t<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__description elementor-cta__content-item elementor-content-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tSecurity in a post-COVID-19 world\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__button-wrapper elementor-cta__content-item elementor-content-item \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-cta__button elementor-button elementor-size-\" href=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/y2023\/safety\/security-in-a-post-covid-19-world\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tRead Forecast\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3ecc8c8 elementor-cta--skin-cover elementor-cta--valign-bottom calltoaction-cust elementor-bg-transform elementor-bg-transform-zoom-in elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-global elementor-global-539 elementor-widget-call-to-action\" data-id=\"3ecc8c8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;fadeInUp&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"call-to-action.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__bg-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__bg elementor-bg\" style=\"background-image: url(https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Group-6561@2x-1536x541.jpg);\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Group 6561@2x\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__bg-overlay\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__content\">\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-cta__title elementor-cta__content-item elementor-content-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t02\t\t\t\t\t<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__description elementor-cta__content-item elementor-content-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tCould 2023 be the year that China attempts to reclaim Taiwan?\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-cta__button-wrapper elementor-cta__content-item elementor-content-item \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-cta__button elementor-button elementor-size-\" href=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/y2023\/safety\/could-2023-be-the-year-that-china-attempts-to-reclaim-taiwan\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\tRead Forecast\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>03 Going into the winter of 2022-2023, Russian forces in Ukraine have lost the initiative against Ukrainian counterattacks. Warmer weather forecasts and stockpiling of natural gas by European governments has blunted Russia\u2019s most potent diplomatic weapon, energy prices. Source: Reuters Russia has now lost control of almost half of the territory it seized since the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":21,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_header_footer","meta":{"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-581","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Will NATO have to get involved in a conflict? - Riskline Forecast<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/y2023\/safety\/will-nato-have-to-get-involved-in-a-conflict\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Will NATO have to get involved in a conflict? - Riskline Forecast\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"03 Going into the winter of 2022-2023, Russian forces in Ukraine have lost the initiative against Ukrainian counterattacks. Warmer weather forecasts and stockpiling of natural gas by European governments has blunted Russia\u2019s most potent diplomatic weapon, energy prices. Source: Reuters Russia has now lost control of almost half of the territory it seized since the [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/y2023\/safety\/will-nato-have-to-get-involved-in-a-conflict\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Riskline Forecast\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-11-30T09:58:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/eu-storage@2x.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@riskline\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/y2023\/safety\/will-nato-have-to-get-involved-in-a-conflict\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/riskline.com\/forecast\/y2023\/safety\/will-nato-have-to-get-involved-in-a-conflict\/\",\"name\":\"Will NATO have to get involved in a conflict? 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