The Riskline Informer is a series of analytical pieces interpreting and forecasting key political, security and social issues affecting global affairs.
19 August 2020
Some US schools will succeed in staying open until the end of the calendar year; many, most likely, will not. The failure of the US to control the COVID-19 pandemic at-large, though, will be a more decisive factor than individual school choices, or student behaviour.
11 August 2020
The fraudulent 9 August election that returned incumbent President Alexander Lukashenko to power brought tens of thousands of people out into the streets; it is not the beginning of the end for the President, but it is the end of the beginning as the post-independence social compact breaks down.
07 August 2020
The British government recently imposed short-notice "lockdown" measures on some parts of the country in northern England the night before Eid. The new restrictions were deemed Islamophobic by many and highlighted the need for the government to do more for BAME communities.
03 August 2020
A second COVID-19 outbreak in Victoria has taught us some valuable lessons on how community transmission can occur with shortcomings in implementation of healthcare and social distancing guidelines.
29 July 2020
The 2020 Summer Olympics have been postponed to July 2021 but there are now doubts as to whether the games can be held at all amid the ongoing novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. While officials have so far opposed holding the Olympics behind closed doors, extensive testing, contact tracing and distancing efforts necessary to hold the event with spectators are likely to be a costly effort of its own.
24 July 2020
With the country reeling from an economic crisis triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic and exacerbated by long-standing institutional leakages, crime rates have gone up significantly in Beirut and other major cities.