The Riskline Informer is a series of analytical pieces interpreting and forecasting key political, security and social issues affecting global affairs.
25 November 2020
Government forces have been engaged in conflict with the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) across the regions of Tigray, Amhara and near the Eritrean border since 3 November. Tens of thousands of displaced people fleeing the fighting swamp the Sudanese border, triggering fears of a massive health and refugee crisis as Ethiopia’s internal community relationships fracture, increasing likelihood of sustained and more widespread conflict.
23 November 2020
The winter of 2020-21 looks to be one sustained wave of COVID-19 across the entire nation.
20 November 2020
While a ceasefire agreement has been reached by Armenia and Azerbaijan following weeks of intense clashes in Nagorno-Karabakh, the latest conflict has realigned power dynamics in the South Caucasus region.
09 November 2020
The Islamophobic rhetoric from President Macron and his government following recent terror attacks in France has prompted a backlash from Muslim-majority countries and is likely to lead to more radicalisation among young Muslims and those on the far-right.
30 October 2020
As the United States heads to the polls on 3 November, uncertainty still looms with concerns over mail-in ballots and a "lame duck" deciding period, all amidst an ongoing pandemic.
28 October 2020
Demonstrations against police violence have gripped the world in 2020 and Nigeria is the most recent example of this. These protests are certain to continue in the near-term due to a history of unkept promises of police reform and the widening scope of demonstrations, which can now be seen as broadly anti-government and anti-police.